If, after the Nevada caucuses a week ago, you said that Joe Biden would wake up on the day after Super Tuesday with a pledged delegate lead of 80 votes, you would have been placed in a straight jacket and taken away. It looked like Bernie Sanders was leading a run away train after Nevada. I was reconciling myself to his probable nomination, accepting as perfectly fair that if he, Sanders, was the pledged delegate leader despite not reaching a majority, that he should of course be the nominee.
Indeed, Sanders and his supporters are now likely regretting that they laid down that marker as the determining factor as to who should be the nominee. Biden now looks like he will build an insurmountable pledged delegate lead over the course of the coming contests in March and April.
Next week, we have contests in Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota and Washington. Joe Biden has the lead in Michigan in a poll you will see later today in the Campaign Report, and should probably be considered the favorite in Mississippi and Missouri. Sanders may be the favorite in Washington State and Idaho, and who knows about North Dakota.
On March 17, you have Arizona, Florida, Illinois and Ohio. Sanders may be the favorite in Arizona, but Biden will destroy Sanders in Florida and will likely win in Ohio and Illinois.
Then comes Georgia on March 24. Biden will win big there. So as we leave March, it looks like Biden will be the pledged delegate leader with probably a good 200-300 vote lead that is insurmountable.
I am not telling anyone to give up on Bernie or any other candidate and ordering them get behind Biden. Hell, if Elizabeth Warren is still in the race on April 28 when Delaware votes, I am still voting for her. You must vote for your candidate. But just as I had to reconcile myself to a Bernie nomination a week ago, so must Bernie voters start reconciling themselves to the fact that this race is likely over.
Biden, of course, must avoid the acrimony and spitefulness that Hillary Clinton had for Bernie Sanders. He, and we, need to be kind and welcoming to leftists and Sanders progressives during the course of this race and when this race is over. We all need to be on the same team for November, and it helps in the grieving and mourning process for your candidate if the victor who vanquished your hero is not rubbing your nose in it.
Knowing Biden, I don’t think we have to worry about his repeating Hillary’s mistake.