Elections National

The Fourth Debate Reaction

I couldn’t watch last night. I decided I wanted to watch playoff baseball. I wonder if most of the beltway punditry made the same decision.  The clips I have seen so far reveal that Warren was the punching bag last night as the new frontrunner in the primary race, and save for one issue (raising taxes to achieve M4A), she handled the onslaught well.   And Biden, while having his stumbles (“proud of Hunter’s judgment??), was stronger and crisper in his answers.  Here are what other people thought of the debate since I didn’t see it:

Josh Marshall: “I don’t know exactly how it will play politically or whether it will continue her rise in the polls. But Warren is simply operating at two or three times the speed and power of almost everyone else up on the stage. Sanders has receded far to the background of the debate. To a great degree, Biden has too. Biden’s answers have been clearer and crisper than in earlier debates. But he seems peripheral to the debate itself. Warren is setting the pace and everyone is reacting to her. […] I think Biden is doing better for himself in this debate than most people probably realize. But again, Warren just has a dynamism and command that isn’t matched by anyone else on the stage.”

Laura Clawson: “From that early phase where basically everyone wanted to pile on Warren—especially a visibly enraged Klobuchar—she may have been relieved to fade into the pack a little. Yet while she could have tried to just avoid taking hits, she didn’t shy away from taking on Biden when he went for the “I am the only person who’s gotten things done” line he’d previewed at a recent campaign event. Sanders got to Biden first on that issue, and he was effective by pointing to Biden’s record on the Iraq war, the horrible bankruptcy bill, and bad trade agreements. But Warren’s account of her press for the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau seemed more infuriating to Biden, who began ranting about the votes he rounded up for her vision—giving her a chance to show her toughness, the toughness that will be so familiar to so many women who’ve kept a smile on their faces when confronted with male condescension or aggression.

Everyone else was looking for that moment of elevation. There were strong contenders, like Castro’s “This president is caging kids on the border and effectively letting ISIS prisoners run free,” and a number of moments of Booker’s reach for inspiration and unity, but it seems unlikely that anyone managed to fundamentally alter the shape of the race. Sanders’ performance, both energetic and so wholly himself, may have arrested any slide in the polls he was seeing due to his health scare. Biden seemed a little sharper than in past debates. Booker and Harris both had overall strong performances. Buttigieg’s pivot to aggression may have been compelling for some voters. But a sea change in the race it was not.”

Taegan Goddard: “Warren is a solid debater but she didn’t come away unscathed. Her continued evasion on Medicare for All is confusing and probably not sustainable. Buttigieg and Klobuchar zeroed in and overall delivered their best debate performances yet. They were both sharp and aggressive. […]

Joe Biden was much stronger than he’s been in previous debates, particularly because foreign policy is currently dominating the headlines. His experience, knowledge and passion come through clearly. Biden also skillfully dismissed the mostly-false scandal surrounding his son’s business interests in Ukraine. Bernie Sanders might have had his best debate yet. For a guy who just had a heart attack, he was strong, energetic and the most consistent candidate on the stage. […]

Overall, it was an informative debate but did little to shake things up. With the exception of Gabbard, the Democratic candidates all have the same goals, just slightly different ideas on how to execute them. Donald Trump and the Republicans have different goals entirely.”

Associated Press: “For the second consecutive debate, Warren refused to say whether middle-class Americans would pay higher taxes under her proposed “Medicare for All” plan. It was a glaring dodge for a candidate who has risen to the top of the Democratic field by unveiling detailed policy proposals and selling them with a folksy flair.”

“And it was one of nearly half a dozen issues on which Warren found herself defending the broad ambition she has laid out to remake the American economy and rebalance the nation’s wealth. More moderate candidates, including Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar, cast Warren as unrealistic and vague.”

“How Warren handles that criticism, which was abundant Tuesday and is likely to escalate in the coming weeks, will be a central test of whether she can maintain her standing.”

A new Gallup poll finds 52% of Americans say President Trump should be impeached and removed from office, while 46% say he should not be.

The 52% who support removing Trump is higher than Gallup ever found for removing President Nixon until August 1974.

Trump’s approval rating remains flat at 39%.

Ezra Klein: “A few things are true about the Hunter Biden story. One is that there’s no evidence Joe Biden did what Donald Trump has accused him of doing: pressuring Ukraine to fire a prosecutor to protect his son from investigation.”

“But another is that Hunter Biden poses real problems for Joe Biden’s campaign, and if Democrats pretend otherwise, they’re making a mistake.”

“Many Democrats consider raising the Hunter Biden question unfair to Joe Biden. Perhaps it is. But no one said politics was fair. And if Democrats avoid the issue, they can be certain Trump will not. Biden’s vulnerability here needs to be tested in the primary, when Democrats have other choices, rather than in the general, when they won’t.”

“Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren don’t just lead the Democratic presidential primary in fundraising. They’ve stockpiled millions more than their rivals, including former Vice President Joe Biden, who burned through money at a fast clip over the past three months while posting an anemic fundraising haul,” the AP reports.

“Sanders held $33.7 million cash on hand on his third-quarter fundraising report. Warren had $25.7 million during the same period, while Mayor Pete Buttigieg came next $23.3 million.”

“Biden, meanwhile, held just $8.9 million, a small fraction of what his leading rivals have at their disposal.”

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), one of the most influential voices among young liberals and a rising Democratic star, plans to endorse Sen. Bernie Sanders for president and appear with him at a rally on Saturday, the Washington Post reports. Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN) is also throwing her support behind Sen. Bernie Sanders’s presidential campaign, The Hill reports. Omar added that Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-MI) is also endorsing Sanders’s presidential bid.

A new Mason-Dixon poll finds Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin (R) and challenger Andy Beshear (D) tied in the gubernatorial race at 46% each.

John Harris: “The first [dynamic at last night’s debate] was the degree of critical focus on Sen. Elizabeth Warren, reflecting a calculation that she, rather than former Vice President Joe Biden, has the momentum in the race and is setting the agenda for the party. She took in the glare for the largest share of the three-hour debate without wilting, or receding for significant chunks of the evening (as she did in previous encounters) when the issues shifted away from terrain where she is most comfortable.”

“The second dynamic was an honest illumination of the party’s left-vs.-center debate. In past encounters, this conversation often was portrayed as a choice between ‘activists’ and ‘establishment,’ or between bold principles and expedient moderation.”

Dan Balz: “On one level, it’s arguable that this debate won’t materially change the Democratic nomination contest any more than the previous matchups did. After four debates, the people who were at the top of the field before the campaign started — former vice president Joe Biden, Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) — are still the top three. The struggling candidates continue to struggle, with little to show for it.”

“At another level, however, these debates have played an important role in the Democratic race. The campaign today is not the campaign of six months ago. Reinforcing what has happened on the trail, the debates have revealed the disparate personalities seeking the nomination and have contributed to altered perceptions of their strengths and weaknesses.”

“Billionaire Tom Steyer appeared on the Democratic presidential debate stage for the first time Tuesday night, but voters in early states have already seen him on TV thousands of times,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Mr. Steyer, who new federal filings show has poured nearly $48 million of his own money into his long-shot bid, is dominating television screens in the first four states that will hold nominating contests early next year.”

“Since entering the race in July, Mr. Steyer has spent more than $26 million on TV ads, airing more than 53,000 spots in markets that reach Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Nevada voters… All told, that is more than six times as many as the rest of the Democratic field combined.”

“Not one single question about the climate crisis… This is the existential crisis of our time. Not one single question, and that’s completely inexcusable.” — Washington Gov. Jay Inslee (D), on Twitter, about last night’s Democratic debate.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

21 comments on “The Fourth Debate Reaction

  1. cassandram

    It’s pretty amazing to me that the media is focused on the will she or won’t she about Warren and the potential for additional taxes for M4A. She does answer this question — and it is an answer about reducing overall costs for all users. It’s a smart approach to the answer here. But it is a partial answer. You are not going to break the support wall on M4A without addressing the stability issue. Whether or not you like your insurance, the stability of insurance is always a problem. Changes in co-pays, deductibles, increases in payroll deductions, fights with companies to cover procedures, do you or do you not need a referral, doctors coming and going from your plan — you get it. Lots (NOT ALL) of this instability is reduced with M4A. Plus the fact that most people still do not know that M4A changes medicare for the better — better coverage; a larger pool of doctors, facilities; no donut holes, etc — for everyone. There’s a story that needs to be told here and right now no one is telling it.

    • The simple fact is she has no way of paying for M4A without a massive tax increase on the middle class. Her “wealth tax” is unconstitutional and will never happen. Combine this with the fact that 70 – 80 % of Americans that have private insurance are happy with it and M4A is a non-starter.

      She is pandering at the highest level and Trump will absolutely destroy her on this issue.

      So take away two things that will never happen (wealth tax and M4A) and what the hell else does Warren offer?

      It will be a Dukakis-like flameout if she gets nominated.

      Although I would love to see Trump eviscerate her in a debate. If she thinks the Tuesday debate was rough that was a walk in the park compared to what Trump will put her through.

      • cassandram

        *Yawn* Took you more than 24 hours to get your talking points in order.

        • So which of her “plans” do you actually think have a chance in hell of becoming reality?

      • aww it’s like it doesnt realize we’ve seen all her other policy proposals and this is just ONE of them.

        Anyway, OF COURSE TAXES WILL GO UP. I swear the only people who think “free stuff” is being offered are the magats who wouldnt know a good politician if one was profiting at their expense.

        Taxes will go up a bit, but monthly payments to an Insurance Cartel WILL STOP. Got that, Very Smart Person(tm)? you will pay, lets say, 80 dollars more per month IN ONE ASPECT… but pay 200/m less IN ANOTHER. Oh my gosh golly gawd… 2 THINGS CAN BE TRUE AT ONCE?

        But you’re right. 30% of the country wont get this and are as dumb as you, and will vote for trmp again no matter what. It’s our job to contain your sickness and roll over you and youre shitty idea for what a society should be.

      • Aside from the GOP talking points, you show no evidence that you know anything at all about this issue. Why don’t you take a break from talking and make yourself a better person by listening. (From now on)

  2. It’s either go with Medicare For All or face the prospect of American healthcare falling of it’s own weight. None save the rich can afford it, no company wants to provide it and please trot out the liars who say they like their insurance company. For a nation that hastens off to war at the drop of a pin the very question of “How can we afford it” becomes absurd, how can we not afford it? is more like it. We can start by negotiating the price of drugs for all Americans, everybody else does it, we should too.

  3. Point of Order

    As with most big changes, most people agree on the ends. The problem is the means. The path to M4A is not clear. That is where all the fuss is. For a sector of the economy as important as healthcare, changes ought to be agreed and implemented everywhere. Negotiating on pharmaceuticals is an excellent start. However, we quickly bog down when we get to provider reimbursement. Rural hospitals are particularly vulnerable to their mix of patients in the current regime. Most physicians accept Medicare because their patient mix demands it, however, the qualifier here is “most.” What are we going to do about the 20% Medicare doesn’t currently cover? These, among others are some of the thorny issues that need to be resolved.

    In its defense, Obamacare was bending the overall cost curve down. I believe the consensus is that had more states adopted the Medicaid ( a.k.a. Medi Don’t Care) coverage, the effect would have been more pronounced. We know where we’re going; we need to make sure everyone arrives.

    • Seize the insurance companies. Fire the directors, but keep all the employees. They are now federal employees. Standardize the system. It is now a federal agency, fully staffed, with operating procedures, patient records, and people who know not to navigate a bureaucracy.

      People may go to ANY doctor. No more networks, no more fucking appeals. No more paying $200 from an ER bed before they stop the pain. (lookin at YOU Christiana)

      I need a cat scan for something that’s probably nothing. Still 2 weeks out from hearing about some blood work that no one will even tell me if i should stop worrying over the phone.
      I had to make 5 phone calls to arrange the imaging. Imaging Office, the specialist to get a referral, my pcp to get a referral, my insurance company to get various numbers and check for coverage (why the fuck is this my job?)
      Twice I had to leave a detailed message about personal health and wait for a call back. It came during a meeting. I couldn’t re arrange another call for 2 days. I work “for a state entity” and have “really good health insurance”.

      Mayor Pete really underestimates how much I loathe my insurance company and would gladly start fresh with an entirely new system. Aetna is awful and I will toast their demise and the desolation of their management.

      • I feel your pain, Ben. The only people who “love” their insurance companies are people who never have to really use it.

        What’s bugging me about the health care debate is that all roads lead to M4A. I’m tired of politicians (I’m looking at you, Biden, Mayor Pete, Klobuchar) pretending that the public option means things will remain the same. They won’t. Why do you think the PO was killed in the ACA? Once it exists, companies will stop offering health insurance. They want out.

        • They may not love it, but they are generally pretty happy with the results.

          https://news.gallup.com/poll/245195/americans-rate-healthcare-quite-positively.aspx

          • cassandram

            Healthcare does not equal Insurance.

            Still, from this article:

            Among insured Americans, those with private insurance plans have more positive views of their healthcare quality but less positive views of their coverage than Medicaid and Medicare recipients.

            Americans are less likely to report satisfaction with the total cost of healthcare in the U.S. — the current 20% nearly matches the 21% average over the same time period. While Americans are more likely to be satisfied than dissatisfied with their own costs, they tend to see the overall U.S. healthcare system as overly expensive for others.

            Though adults with private insurance give the highest reviews on quality among insured groups, those who receive Medicaid and Medicare (70%) are much more likely to be satisfied than the privately insured (51%) with the cost they pay.

            Americans get that they do not get a good deal on their insurance coverage or healthcare costs.

            • Shocker. Those whose healthcare is subsidized by others are happier with the cost they pay.

              • cassandram

                Which is probably why you posted it to prove your own argument, I’d bet.

              • You must loathe socialist Christian churches the redistribute donations to help the poor.

      • You should probably think about a brain transplant while you are in there. CAT scan will show limited activity, I bet.

        • Im not the one who cant differentiate between health CARE and health INSURANCE. the care I get is great. There are some good drs and Nps here in Delaware. The insurance steps to SEE one of these talented professionals, however is like trying to explain the difference between care and insurance to a MAGAT…. That is to say, it’s close to impossible and you get the distinct impression they are in it just to troll you.

        • that’s just evil.

  4. She’s going to run on a platform of a failing economy for the middle class?

    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/10/15/its_a_middle-class_boom_141497.html

    Lots of luck, she’ll need it.

    Notice still no response on which of her policy proposals actually has a snowball’s chance in hell of becoming reality.

    But she waves her arms a lot and wags that finger in everyones’s face… Loads of charisma with this one, like fingernails across a blackboard.

    • now he’s repeating his Daddy’s talking points from the most recent pep rally.
      can you TRY to hide your sycophancy a little better? it’s not as amusing when you’re lazy.

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