If there were a Senate primary, LBR is only leading it by 10

A new poll from the Delaware-based legal reform group Citizens for Judicial Fairness decided to create a Democratic Primary where none currently exists for the U.S. Senate seat being vacated by retiring U.S. Senator Tom Carper.

They chose term limited Governor John Carney as an imaginery opponent for Congresswoman Lisa Blunt Rochester, even though he has declined to run for the Senate and is instead focusing on a possible Wilmington Mayoral run.

LBR is the only announced candidate for the Democratic nomination for the U.S. Senate seat, and she leads Carney by 10 points, 43%-33%, with 15% undecided. You can argue that it is a positive sign in that Carney has tons of name recognition as the state’s Governor, and thus it is impressive that a lesser known Congresswoman is beating him by 10. Or you can argue that is negative in that she is only leading an imaginery opponent by 10 in a race the has to herself. That is could invite someone to join the race.

The poll was conducted by Slingshot Strategies for the Delaware based group Citizens for Judicial Fairness (CJF) on Oct. 7-14, surveying 600 registered voters, of which about 45 percent were registered Democrats. It had a 3.9 percent margin of error. CJF is the latest incarnation of the PAC that resulted from the Transperfect Chancery fight a couple of years ago, where the losing owner of a part of the Transperfect company decided to spend millions attacking Delaware courts in TV ads. Do with that information what you will.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

2 comments on “If there were a Senate primary, LBR is only leading it by 10

  1. cassandram

    So I don’t quite get this poll. If they are polling registered voters anywhere at this state, they ought to be polling for a General Election, right? If they are just asking people about the Dem primary, shouldn’t they poll just registered Dems (who are the only people who can vote in a Dem primary)?

    This outfit seems to have done most of their work in NY.

    But it seems on brand for these Transperfect losers to commission an absolutely meaningless poll to try to “be in the conversation”.

  2. mediawatch

    If only 45 percent of those polled were registered Democrats, it’s likely that 25-35 percent of those polled were registered Republicans. If so, that would go a long way toward explaining how Carney picks up 33 percent.

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