The Campaign Report – 10/12/2020

Six in 10 registered voters say the U.S. Supreme Court should uphold Roe v. Wade as the basis of abortion law in the United States, and a majority in an ABC News/Washington Post poll — albeit now a narrow one — says the Senate should delay filling the court’s current vacancy.

A new Washington Post-ABC News poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race nationally, 54% to 42%.

Key findings: “The president’s ratings on handling the pandemic are slightly worse than his overall marks, with 41% of registered voters saying they approve and 58% saying they disapprove. Slightly more than 9 in 10 who approve of his handling of the outbreak support Trump for reelection, while nearly 9 in 10 who disapprove support Biden.”

NATIONAL–Washington Post-ABC NewsBiden 54–Trump 42
NATIONAL–USC DornsifeBiden 54–Trump 41
MICHIGAN–Baldwin Wallace UniversityBiden 50–Trump 43
MICHIGAN–YouGovBiden 52–Trump 46
NEVADA–YouGovBiden 52–Trump 46
IOWA–YouGovBiden 49–Trump 49
OHIO–Baldwin Wallace UniversityTrump 47–Biden 45
PENNSYLVANIA–Baldwin Wallace UniversityBiden 50–Trump 45
WISCONSIN–Baldwin Wallace UniversityBiden 49–Trump 43
TEXAS–Public Policy PollingBiden 47–Trump 46

“President Trump is running out of time to recover from a series of self-inflicted setbacks that have rattled his base of support and triggered alarm among Republicans who fear the White House is on the verge of being lost to Joe Biden,” the AP reports.

“The one-two punch of Trump’s coronavirus diagnosis and his widely panned debate performance also has Republicans worried they could lose control of the Senate. With just over three weeks until Election Day, Senate races in some reliably red states, including South Carolina and Kansas, are competitive, aided by a surge in Democratic fundraising that has put both the Republican Party and Trump’s own campaign at an unexpected financial disadvantage.”

President Trump has asked his campaign to put him on the road every single day from now until Nov. 3, Axios reports.

“His team is in the process of scheduling events to make that happen… But not everyone thinks this is a good idea.

Said one adviser: “He’s going to kill himself.”


Harry Enten: “In the 21 previous presidential elections since 1936, there have only been five challengers who led at this time. Of those five, only one (Bill Clinton in 1992) was ahead by more than 5 points. None of those five were earning more than 48% of the vote in the polls.”

“In other words, Biden is the first challenger to be above 50% at this late juncture in the campaign.”

“President Trump’s reelection campaign on Sunday revived its push for an in-person presidential debate even though it seems the Joe Biden campaign — and the debate commission — have moved on,” CNN reports.

“The move comes after Trump — who has repeatedly flouted best public health practices since his Covid-19 diagnosis — declined last week to participate in a virtual format.”

“Democrats are on track to win big in Arizona next month — from the presidential election to the state House. And Republicans fear it won’t just be a one-time event but the start of long-term Democratic dominance in the state,” Politico reports.

“It’s a shift that’s been coming since before President Donald Trump’s election but has only been further accelerated over the past four years by his divisive presidency and the Arizona GOP’s evolution from the party of John McCain to that of Trump.”

“Now, Republicans are reckoning with signs that the party has taken on a direction that won’t play well in Arizona in 2020 — or ever. With that, Democrats could cement control of state politics, as they have in other suburban-heavy states, like Colorado and Virginia.”

Joe Biden’s widening lead in polls is providing a bullish cue to investment strategists: Wall Street now sees less chance of a contested election, and more chance of a “blue wave” — Democrats taking the House, Senate and White House — and the hearty stimulus that could follow, Axios reports.

A clear-cut Democratic win would “provide certainty to markets that have been nervous about election risks,” Bloomberg reports.

Washington Post: “Both sides now see Pennsylvania, with 20 electoral college votes, as a must-win prize on the path to the 270 needed to win the White House.”

“They also increasingly view the battle for those votes as one that could well continue beyond Election Day — with a growing list of balloting disputes and lawsuits setting the stage, if the race is close, for a contested election reminiscent of the Florida drama that transfixed the nation after the 2000 election.”

“Not only is Pennsylvania allowing anyone to vote by mail in a general election for the first time, but all the state’s polling places also have new voting machines, and the rules that govern the vote have been shifting in recent weeks, as the two parties in a state with divided government battle in the courts on multiple fronts.”

South Carolina Senate candidate Jaime Harrison’s campaign announced Sunday it raised $57 million in the third quarter of 2020, shattering the quarterly fundraising record for a Senate race set by Beto O’Rourke in 2018 by almost $20 million, Axios reports.

President Trump told Fox News he’s now immune to the coronavirus: “Once you do recover, you’re immune, so you don’t have a president who has to hide in his basement.”

He continued: “It looks like I’m immune for, I don’t know, maybe a long time, maybe a short time, it could be a lifetime, nobody really knows — but I’m immune.”

He added that he had a “protective glow.”

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA) will participate in Supreme Court nominee Amy Coney Barrett’s confirmation hearing virtually, Axios reports.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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