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The Campaign Report – A Polling Disaster for Trump

A new CNN poll of registered voters nationally shows Biden winning by a massive landslide, Biden 55%, Trump 41%. Trump’s approval rating is down to 38%, a collapse of 7 points in the past month. His disapproval rating is up to 57%, the

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race nationally, 50% to 42%.

Also interesting: By an 11-point margin, more Americans want a Democrat-controlled Congress than one controlled by Republicans.

A new EPIC-MRA poll in Michigan finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race, 53% to 41% with 6% undecided. He leads independents by a 40 point margin, 63% to 23%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Sen. Gary Peters (D) leads challenger John James, 51% to 36%.

More from that new CNN Poll:

  • Only 32% approve of Trump’s handling of George Floyd aftermath
  • 74% think Floyd killing shows broader problems in police treatment of blacks
  • 57% say police more likely to use deadly force against blacks
  • 63% disapprove of Trump’s handling of race relations
  • 65% say the President’s response to recent protests has been more harmful than helpful.
  • 84% say the peaceful protests happening all across the country after police violence against African Americans are justified
  • Voters give Biden a roughly two-to-one advantage over Trump on handling race relations: 63% say they feel Biden would do a better job on the issue, just 31% choose Trump
  • Biden also outpaces Trump overall on handling coronavirus (55% to 41%), and on leading the nation in times of crisis (55% to 41%)
  • Trump narrowly tops Biden as more trusted to handle the economy: 51% trust the President, 46% Biden.
  • Those who are behind Trump, however, remain enthusiastic about voting (73% say they are extremely or very enthusiastic about voting) and mostly say their vote is a show of support for the President (70% say their backing of Trump is more a vote for Trump than against Biden).
  • Biden’s voters have renewed their enthusiasm since the last CNN poll on that question in April. While just 50% were extremely or very enthusiastic then, 69% say the same now. Overall, 53% of Democrats now call themselves “extremely” enthusiastic about voting, erasing a gap with Republicans which had grown as large as 13 points in March.
  • Those behind Biden, though, are largely expressing opposition to Trump (60%) over support for Biden (37%).

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds 8 out of 10 voters believe that things are out of control in the United States, with majorities still concerned about the spread of the coronavirus, pessimistic about the economy returning to normal before next year and down on President Trump’s ability to unite the nation.

President Trump’s top political advisers are deeply concerned about “brutal” internal polling for the president in the aftermath of his handling of the coronavirus pandemic and George Floyd’s killing, Axios reports.

He has a “woman problem” in the words of another adviser.

New York Times: “It was one thing in 2016 for top Republicans to take a stand against Donald J. Trump for president: He wasn’t likely to win anyway, the thinking went, and there was no ongoing conservative governing agenda that would be endangered.”

“The 2020 campaign is different: Opposing the sitting president of your own party means putting policy priorities at risk, in this case appointing conservative judges, sustaining business-friendly regulations and cutting taxes — as well as incurring the volcanic wrath of Mr. Trump.”

“But, far sooner than they expected, growing numbers of prominent Republicans are debating how far to go in revealing that they won’t back his re-election — or might even vote for Joseph R. Biden Jr., the presumptive Democratic nominee. They’re feeling a fresh urgency because of Mr. Trump’s incendiary response to the protests of police brutality, atop his mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic, according to people who spoke on the condition of anonymity to disclose private discussions.”

“The buyer’s remorse about choosing Charlotte, N.C., to host President Trump’s nominating convention had already set in last January, months before the coronavirus would force both parties to rethink how to hold large-scale political events,” the New York Times reports.

“Sitting in the lobby of the Trump Hotel in Washington, D.C., that month, a group of Republican fund-raisers expressed concern that what could have been a high-octane celebration of Mr. Trump’s complete takeover of the Republican Party was going to fall short of expectations.”

“Convention cities are chosen well in advance of the event. But at that point, North Carolina was looking like less of a problem electorally for Mr. Trump than Florida, the president’s new home state, and one that he is uniquely focused on winning. And the North Carolina governor, Roy Cooper, a Democrat, was viewed warily by party officials as a hardball political player they couldn’t trust.”

“Many Democratic leaders were irate in 2016 over what they saw as Bernie Sanders’ failure to fully get behind Hillary Clinton and work hard to get her elected,” Politico reports.

“Four years later, they’re heaping praise on the Vermont senator and his top brass for their efforts to put Joe Biden in the White House.”

“A shifting battlefield map is imperiling Donald Trump’s re-election, putting the president on the defensive in states his team didn’t expect to be competitive in November,” Bloomberg reports.

“Recent surveys show Democrat Joe Biden has pulled further ahead in the industrial Midwestern states that Trump won in 2016, as the president’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic and the resulting job losses prompted a precipitous slide in his support.”

“As things stand now, Biden could not only regain Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, he could take several states once steadfastly Republican: Arizona, Ohio, North Carolina and Texas.”

“Voter registrations, volunteer activity and donations for groups linked to Democratic causes are surging in the midst of protests following the death of George Floyd,” CNBC reports.

If you want to help register voters, Vote Save America is a great site to share with friends and family.

“President Trump’s reelection team is tapping Jason Miller to serve as a senior adviser, bringing a controversial figure back into the fold as the campaign barrels towards a treacherous final stretch,” Politico reports.

“After the 2016 election, Miller was named White House communications director. But weeks before Trump’s inauguration he backed out after reports emerged that he had an extramarital affair and impregnated another campaign official, A.J. Delgado.”

Politico: “In the last week alone, two prospects who were initially not considered among the top tier contenders have suddenly burst into contention: Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Florida Rep. Val Demings.”

“Both have been tapped by the Biden campaign to act as leading surrogates amid the unrest and have seen their national media exposure intensify. The national demand for Bottoms has been so high in the wake of national protests, she’s adding staff to handle the crush of interest.

Tim Alberta: “It’s a loaded phrase, one that politicians in both parties have invoked for decades — with great success — to project a certain virility to the electorate. It has recently taken on even harsher connotations in the context of Trump’s Twitter usage (10 times in just the last week) and the accompanying sentiments (threats of unleashing ‘vicious dogs’ on rioters, and promises of, ‘when the looting starts, the shooting starts.’)

“But it has long carried a cautionary subtext: Don’t dare challenge the integrity of a justice system predicated on punishing wrongdoers, the harsher the better. Over time, this has meant fewer rehabilitative doors opened and more retributive cells slammed shut. It has meant refusing to acknowledge that anything is fundamentally amiss with the system itself; that disparities and discrimination are not the same thing, that isolated incidents of police misconduct are just that, no matter their regularity or similarities.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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