The Campaign Report – Biden leads by 11

A new Monmouth poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race nationally, 52% to 41%.

Biden’s lead has been slowly widening. It stood at 50% to 41% last month, 48% to 44% in April, and 48% to 45% in March.

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “The race continues to be largely a referendum on the incumbent. The initial reaction to ongoing racial unrest in the country suggests that most voters feel Trump is not handling the situation all that well.”

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll finds 69% of Americans say things in the U.S. are “pretty seriously” on the wrong track.

A new Monmouth poll finds 74% of the American public thinks the country is currently headed on the wrong track.

President Trump’s overall job rating continues on a downward trend with just 42% approving and 54% disapproving.

Joe Biden is on the cusp of formally securing the Democratic presidential nomination after winning hundreds more delegates in primary contests that tested the nation’s ability to run elections while balancing a pandemic and sweeping social unrest.

Biden could lock down the nomination within the next week as West Virginia and Georgia hold primaries.

Biden and President Donald Trump easily swept their respective primary contests that ranged from Maryland to Montana and featured the night’s biggest prize: Pennsylvania.


Washington Post: “The turmoil across the country, punctuated this week with authorities’ use of force against peaceful protesters near the White House, has caused a rethinking for a candidate who once promised donors that under his administration ‘nothing would fundamentally change’ and who, just 11 weeks ago during his final primary debate, offered himself as a pragmatist, unlike his socialist rival Bernie Sanders, declaring: ‘People are looking for results, not a revolution.’”

“Now, in virtual town hall meetings, media interviews, his own podcast and in a rare formal address Tuesday, Biden has pointed toward a transformational era in which government would play a bigger role in curing the country’s public health, economic and racial woes. Far from the incremental administration he promised on the primary campaign trail, Biden now offers Franklin Delano Roosevelt, architect of the post-Great Depression New Deal, as a role model for tackling the damage wrought by the coronavirus pandemic that has killed more than 100,000 Americans and put millions out of work as well as the enduring effects of systemic racism being challenged by a newly energized protest movement.”

Stuart Rothenberg: “A new map in North Carolina guarantees Democrats will pick up two seats in the Tar Heel State. Add an open Republican seat in Texas that is likely to flip to the Democrats, and instead of starting off needing 17 seats, the NRCC really needs to net at least 20 Democratic seats in November.”

“Republican strategists hope that 2018 was an aberration. They expect GOP voters who swung Democratic during the midterms to swing back again in November. If that were to happen, the House would likely come into play. But for now, that seems more like wishful thinking than hardheaded analysis.”

The Guardian: “Texas Democrats plan to use Zoom to create an army of voter registration volunteers, a novel approach to work around the state’s severe restrictions on voter registration during the Covid-19 pandemic. The effort comes as voter registration efforts, both in Texas and around the US have effectively stalled just months before the presidential election.”

Republican Voters Against Trump is running an ad this week on “Fox & Friends” that uses President Trump’s own words against him. 

The spot is centered around a line from his inauguration: “This American carnage stops right here and stops right now.”

President Trump said he will move the Republican National Convention out of North Carolina after the state and the GOP clashed over potential health restrictions due to the coronavirus, the Charlotte Observer reports.

“Republican National Committee officials are considering Nashville and other locations as potential sites for the GOP convention amid a standoff with North Carolina over whether it will allow the party to hold it in Charlotte as planned,” Politico reports.

“Party officials are expected to make a trip to Nashville later this week, likely Thursday or Friday.

North Carolina Gov. Roy Cooper (D) rejected the GOP’s plans for a full-fledged convention in Charlotte, telling Republican officials the only way the convention would move forward is with proper health protocols in place, Politico reports.

Said Cooper in a letter: “The people of North Carolina do not know what the status of COVID-19 will be in August, so planning for a scaled-down convention with fewer people, social distancing and face coverings is a necessity.”

Rep. Steve King (R-IA) has been defeated in the Republican primary in Iowa’s fourth congressional district, according to Dave Wasserman of the Cook Political Report.

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds 64% of Americans sympathize with nationwide protests over the death of an unarmed black man in police custody and 55% disapprove of President Trump’s response to the unrest.

Former officials from the George W. Bush administration have formed a super PAC to support Joe Biden’s White House campaign, The Hill reports.

“An Ohio House elections bill, lined up for a swift series of committee hearings since it was introduced last week, would make this year’s presidential election the first one since 2008 in which the state wouldn’t mail an unsolicited absentee ballot application to all registered voters,” the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports.

The bill “also would eliminate in-person early voting on the Saturday, Sunday and Monday before the election, something that’s been offered since 2015.”

“The proposal runs counter to a plan by Republican Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose, who has sought to expand early voting for the November election, in part due to the coronavirus pandemic.”

Rep. Eliot Engel (D-NY), who is facing a primary challenge, was caught on a hot mic pleading with Bronx Borough President Ruben Diaz Jr. for a chance to speak after last night’s George Floyd protests.

Said Engel: “If I didn’t have a primary, I wouldn’t care.” Responded Diaz: “Don’t do that to me.” Engel is facing Jamaal Bowman (D) in the June 23 Democratic primary.

Joe Biden plans to attend the funeral for George Floyd in Houston next week, the Texas Tribune reports.

“Joe Biden has surged past President Trump in online betting markets tied to the outcome of the 2020 presidential race as the country continues to grapple with a deepening financial crisis, spreading pandemic and historic protests over police brutality,” CNBC reports.

“President Trump originally tried to register to vote in Florida while claiming his ‘legal residence’ was in another part of the country — Washington, D.C. — according to Florida elections records,” the Washington Post reports.

“The September 2019 registration application listed Trump’s legal residence as 1600 Pennsylvania Ave… That created a potential problem for Trump: Florida law requires voters to be legal residents of the state.”

“A month later, Trump resubmitted his application to use a Florida address and in March he voted by mail in Florida’s Republican primary.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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