The Campaign Report – Biden leads in Texas, NH, NC

A new SurveyUSA poll in North Carolina finds Joe Biden leading President Trump in the presidential race, 50% to 45%.

“Among voters who say Trump’s handling of coronavirus is a major factor, Biden leads 61% to 34%, but Trump is ahead among voters who call the pandemic a minor factor in the race and those who say it plays no role in how they will vote.”

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Texas finds Joe Biden just ahead of Donald Trump in the presidential race, 47% to 46% with 7% still undecided.

A new Saint Anselm College poll in New Hampshire finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in the presidential race, 50% to 42%.

“Sen. David Perdue, a Georgia Republican up for reelection and a close Trump confidant, issued a blunt warning to GOP activists during an off-the-record conference call this week: Democrats are in position to turn his state blue and take the Senate,” CNN reports

Said Perdue: “Here’s the reality: The state of Georgia is in play.”

“The stark warning from a GOP senator — who is not considered among the most vulnerable Republicans this election cycle — illustrates the fear among Republicans that Democrats’ chances of taking back the Senate continue to grow.”

“President Trump’s advisers presented him with the results of internal polling last week that showed him falling behind former vice president Joe Biden in key swing states in the presidential race, part of an effort by aides to curtail Trump’s freewheeling daily briefings on the coronavirus pandemic,” the Washington Post reports.

“The two polls given to Trump — one from the Republican National Committee and another from the Trump campaign — both showed Trump trailing Biden in swing states.”

“As he huddled with advisers on Friday evening, President Trump was still fuming over his sliding poll numbers and the onslaught of criticism he was facing for suggesting a day earlier that ingesting disinfectant might prove effective against coronavirus,” CNN reports.

“Within moments, the President was shouting — not at the aides in the room, but into the phone — at his campaign manager Brad Parscale… Shifting the blame away from himself, Trump berated Parscale for a recent spate of damaging poll numbers, even at one point threatening to sue Parscale.”

Said one Republican close to the White House: “He’s pissed because he knows he messed up in those briefings.”

Rep. Justin Amash (I-MI) announced an exploratory committee to run for president on the Libertarian Party ticket.

Said Amash: “We’re ready for a presidency that will restore respect for our Constitution and bring people together. I’m excited and honored to be taking these first steps toward serving Americans of every background as president.”

Axios: “Amash gained notoriety last year when he came out as the lone House Republican to support the impeachment of President Trump following the publication of the Mueller report. He later switched his party affiliation to independent.”

President Trump weighed in on the potential of Rep. Justin Amash (I-MI) weighing a third party bid for president: “I think Amash would make a wonderful candidate, especially since he is way behind in his district and has no chance of maintaining his Congressional seat. He almost always votes for the Do Nothing Dems anyway. I like him even more than Jill Stein!”

George Conway: “I admired how Justin Amash stood up for the rule of law in Trump’s impeachment. And needless to say, my views align more closely with Amash’s than Biden’s. But the only real effect Amash could have in this campaign is to enhance Trump’s chances.”

Rep. Justin Amash (I-MI) told the Detroit News that he’s ‘confident’ he could win the presidency as a Libertarian. Said Amash: “There’s an urgency. There is a need right now, more than ever, for someone with common sense to stand up to these two parties and to present a strong alternative.” LOL.

Personally, I don’t think Amash will be a factor at all.

A new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds 50% of Americans said they or someone in their household has either lost hours or a job because of coronavirus, up from 18% a month ago.

And the pandemic is having a harsher economic effect on people of color, those without a college degree, younger people and those who make less money. Of non-whites, 60% said they or someone in their household has lost hours or a job, compared to 43% of whites; 55% percent of those without a degree, those under 45 and those making less than $50,000 a year also said so.

PBS Newshour/NPR/Marist Poll: “When asked about how the president has handled the coronavirus pandemic, 55% of Americans said they do not think he is doing a good job, up slightly from 49% in March.”

New York Times: “In most Republican polling, the president’s approval rating is higher than either his personal favorability percentage or his share of the vote.”

Said pollster Geoff Garin: “What we’re seeing in polls is that Trump’s personal ratings have gone down even more than his job approval ratings. And what that tells me is that all of Trump’s antics are taking a toll on his vote because now more than ever people see his lack of judgment and lack of temperament as being consequential.”

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll finds 73% of those surveyed think Americans should continue social distancing, even if it means continued damage to the U.S. economy. Just 15% say social distancing should end to boost the economy, even if the virus spreads.

Meanwhile, the poll also shows voters are girding for a second wave of cases: 79% say that second wave is very or somewhat likely. Only 9% say it’s unlikely.

“A federal appeals court panel ruled Wednesday that a Kansas law requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote is unconstitutional, upholding a judge’s injunction that had banned its use,” the New York Times reports.

“The law was championed by former Kansas Secretary of State Kris Kobach, who led President Trump’s now-defunct voter fraud commission and was a leading source for Trump’s unsubstantiated claim that millions of immigrants living in the U.S. illegally may have voted in the 2016 election.”

Rick Hasen: “Make no mistake–this is a huge victory… This is a huge win for voters, and it clears away a law that disenfranchised thousands but prevented no appreciable amount of voter fraud.”

At least 52 people in Wisconsin who said they voted in-person or worked the polls for the state’s April 7 primary have tested positive for coronavirus, CNN reports.

A virtual fundraiser with Joe Biden and Sen. Amy Klobuchar next week is being billed to potential donors with an explicit reference to Klobuchar being a potential running mate, the New York Times reports.

Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC), one of Joe Biden’s biggest backers, told NBC News that it’s “not a must” for the former vice president to pick a black woman as his running mate.

Said Clyburn: “I think having a woman on the ticket is a must. I’m among those who feel that it would be great for him to select a woman of color. But that is not a must.”

Clyburn had previously said Biden’s pick “needs to be a black woman.”

“Andrew Yang, the former presidential candidate, is suing the New York State Board of Elections in federal court after the state election commission effectively canceled the Democratic presidential primary there,” the Politico reports.

“Yang, along with seven New Yorkers who filed to serve as Yang delegates to the Democratic National Convention, filed suit on Monday arguing that they should not be removed because they had otherwise met the requirements to be on the ballot.”

Kweisi Mfume, a former Democratic congressman and president of the NAACP, won a special election to represent Baltimore in Congress, reclaiming a seat he held nearly 25 years ago to finish the term of his successor, Rep. Elijah Cummings, who died in October, the New York Times reports.

New York Times: “The campaign’s digital strategy has the advantages of far more time, money and data than it did the previous cycle. But its chief asset remains the same as in 2016: a compulsively performative, pugilistic and norm-shredding candidate who demonstrably will stop at nothing to win — so prolific a generator of outrageous ad content that one 2016 R.N.C. operative likens working for him to ‘fishing with dynamite.’”

“The dynamite, as in 2016, takes the form of Facebook ads with thousands of barely detectable variants, each targeting voting groups in specific locales with specific issue interests and demographic profiles. Turning passive viewers of these ads into small donors is among Parscale’s key objectives, and not only for the money: Every online donor provides personal data for the campaign to use and the investment in Trump makes it almost certain that someone will show up to the polls and vote for him.”

“The Facebook ads themselves have always been cheap, but as The Atlantic recently reported, they now can cost 40 percent less because of coronavirus-induced market tremors.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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