Delaware

The Campaign Report – Bernie wins but underperforms in NH

Bernie Sanders appears to have won the New Hampshire primary as expected. However, what was not expected is that his win was only by 1.3%. He leads Buttigieg 25.7% to 24.4% with 87% of the precincts reporting. His campaign was at the very least hoping to break 30% if not more.

The networks and the AP have called the race for Bernie, so the remaining vote is likely to be from his areas of strength in the state. Interestingly, it would appear that both Bernie and Buttigieg will get the same number of delegates (9) from their performances in the primary.

If I were a Bernie Bro or Gal, I would be concerned that Sanders is not growing his base, at least in this election. Will he now? Will the Yang Gang come aboard? And I would be concerned that for the second contest in a row, I have basically tied with Buttigieg.

Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) told the Washington Post he is ending his campaign for the presidency.

Former Gov. Deval Patrick told the Boston Globe that he and his wife are going to go home tonight and “make some decisions” tomorrow morning about future of his presidential campaign.

He said he needed the “winds of from New Hampshire to carry us on.”

Thomas Friedman: “Yes, Sanders is also polling well against Trump, but the Trump machine has not begun to focus on him yet — it hasn’t begun bombing Facebook with ads about how Sanders honeymooned in the Soviet Union.”

“Sitting here today, Bloomberg — paired with a progressive vice-presidential candidate who can appeal to Sanders’s voters — has the best chance to carry the day.”

“In an age when political extremists go all the way, and moderates tend to just go away, Bloomberg has the right stuff — a moderate progressive with a heart of gold but the toughness of a rattlesnake — for what is going to be an incredibly big, brutal task: making Donald Trump a one-term president.”

Rep. Lucy McBath (D-GA), a gun regulation activist whose son was shot and killed, endorsed Mike Bloomberg’s Democratic presidential campaign Wednesday, joining a growing coterie of House members to support the former New York mayor two years after he helped elect them to Congress, the Washington Post reports.

“Andrew Yang, a Democratic businessman who campaigned on giving every adult American a monthly check for $1,000, will end his campaign for president after a disappointing showing in the New Hampshire primary,” the Washington Post reports.

Saif Yang: “I am a numbers guy. In most of these upcoming states, I’m not going to be at a threshold where I get delegates, which makes sticking around not necessarily helpful or productive in terms of furthering the goals of this campaign.”

Nate Silver: “He ran an overachieving campaign that brought new types of voters into the Democratic fold, and he probably has an interesting future in politics if he wants one.”

Former longtime CNBC correspondent and anchor Michelle Caruso-Cabrera has launched a challenge in the Democratic primary against freshman firebrand Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), CNBC reports.

“Caruso-Cabrera is known to be a skeptic of government and a proponent of free markets. In 2010, she published a book called You Know I’m Right: More Prosperity, Less Government. She has been a registered Democrat for several years.”

LOL. Caruso CNBC Cabrera has no chance. Ocasio Cortez will destroy her.

“Nevada Democrats will replace their app-based early voting process for the caucus with a scannable paper ballot, the first concrete details to emerge about the new process the party is designing in the wake of Iowa’s problem-plagued contest last week,” the Nevada Independent reports.

“Under the new system, early voters will fill out paper ballots that will be scanned at the end of each day, like a Scantron, at designated processing hubs monitored by the state party. Those paper ballots will be linked to voters’ unique secretary of state ID numbers — which will ensure their votes will flow to their home precinct to be counted alongside their neighbors’ on Caucus Day — through use of a check-in form, via Google Forms, as well as a paper back-up voter card.”

Josh Putnam: “While there is perhaps some wisdom in this move post-Iowa, it is still a last-ish minute change with just 11 days until the caucuses. Election administration matters and it takes constant, steady procedures.”

“Money is a big X factor in the Democratic contest, but it cuts both ways,” Axios reports.

“Wins fuel donations — that’s helping Sanders and Buttigieg. Losses shake donor confidence. Biden needs money to keep going.”

“The self-funded Bloomberg is immune from those forces. But with an anti-billionaire message at the core of Sanders’ campaign, it’s an open question whether the same wealth that has propelled Bloomberg’s unorthodox candidacy could be an inherent disqualifier for too many primary voters.”

“Democratic presidential candidates made last-ditch appeals to voters throughout this state, largely shedding their most intense attacks on one another and instead auditioning to be the chief antagonist to President Trump, who arrived in New Hampshire on Monday night for a rally that showcased the Republican incumbent’s strength,” the Washington Post reports.

“Mike Bloomberg is not asking Silicon Valley leaders for their money as he ramps up his presidential campaign, but he is asking them for a different kind of precious possession — their employees,” Recode reports.

“On Monday, Bloomberg’s campaign gathered hundreds of tech leaders on a conference call and asked them to refer their most talented technical colleagues and friends to Bloomberg’s gargantuan election operation in New York.”

“Building on growing momentum in the polls, billionaire presidential candidate Michael Bloomberg will visit Raleigh, Greensboro and Winston-Salem this week to make his pitch to Democratic voters,” the Raleigh News & Observer reports.

“The primary will be held March 3, but in-person early voting begins Thursday, the same day Bloomberg will be here.”

Philip Bump: “There are lots of reasons that Sen. Bernie Sanders should feel pleased with his current position in the race for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. Perhaps the only concrete result of the Iowa caucuses was that former vice president Joe Biden did worse than expected. Sanders finished at the top of the field there and should win the New Hampshire primary Tuesday.”

“What’s more, a national poll from Quinnipiac University released Monday showed Sanders passing Biden for the first time. In The Washington Post’s average of national polls, Sanders has pulled within four points of Biden, challenging the former vice president’s long-standing lead. In other polling averages, he’s even closer.”

“Sanders’s gains on Biden aren’t solely a function of Sanders siphoning support from Biden, though. Instead, the poll suggests that Biden’s support is being cannibalized by former New York mayor Mike Bloomberg. At the same time, Biden’s planned path to resurrection may have been largely cut off by another billionaire, businessman Tom Steyer.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

1 comment on “The Campaign Report – Bernie wins but underperforms in NH

  1. cassandram

    Patrick suspends his campaign.

    Wish I understood why he got in so late.

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