The Campaign Report – January 27, 2020

A new Emerson College/7 News Poll in Iowa finds Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic presidential race with 30%, followed by Joe Biden at 21%, Amy Klobuchar 13%, Elizabeth Warren at 11% and Pete Buttigieg at 10%.

They are followed by Tom Steyer and Tulsi Gabbard both at 5%.

USA Today/Suffolk poll finds Biden leading with 25%, followed by Sanders at 19%, Buttigieg at 18%, Warren at 13% and Klobucahr at 6%.

BuzzFeed News: “With the series of polls showing Sanders at the top of the field in the first states — two more came out on Sunday alone, along with a national poll that has Sanders and Biden nearly tied — there is a feeling of palpable anticipation inside and around the campaign over what backlash, if any, might be coming.”

“Some rivals are already trying to capitalize on establishment anxiety. Pete Buttigieg asked supporters twice on Saturday to fend off Sanders by contributing to the mayor’s campaign.”

Said Sanders at a rally: “We are taking on the Democratic establishment, and all across the country, let me tell you that the big money interests are getting very nervous. They’re looking at recent polls in New Hampshire and in Iowa and they’re saying ‘Oh my god, Sanders can win!’”

Washington Post: Sanders faces barrage of attacks from rivals as polls show him surging in early states.

A new Salt Lake Tribune/Suffolk University survey in Utah shows Bernie Sanders leading the Democratic presidential field with 27%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 14%, Joe Biden at 12% and Michael Bloomberg at 10%.

No other Democratic presidential candidate had double-digit support.

Michael Bloomberg’s campaign told ABC News that “it will begin sending out its first mailers — yes, physical paper letters — to 2.5 million registered Democratic voters across every single Super Tuesday state.”

“The campaign’s move pays unprecedented attention on parts of the country that normally get neglected during the Democratic primary process, especially this early on.”

David Richter (R) will drop his GOP primary challenge to Democrat-turned-Republican Jeff Van Drew (R-NJ) and instead seek to run against Rep. Andy Kim (D-NJ), the New Jersey Globe reports.

Said Richter: “When I decided to run for Congress, it was to flip a congressional seat. That’s already happened. I’m endorsing Jeff Van Drew.”

Wall Street Journal: “For the Feb. 3 caucuses, the Trump campaign is planning an ambitious show of force around the state, with over 80 surrogates expected to campaign at caucus locations.”

“The campaign sees the night as an opportunity to test its organizational muscle across the state’s 99 counties.”

Washington Post: “That ‘year of organizing’ will have its ultimate test in one week. And it has been almost microscopic. The campaign made a detailed study of almost all of the state’s more than 1,600 precincts to determine how to maximize support. It divided Iowa into nine zones and made an early investment deploying numerous operatives in each one, including remote towns and areas unlikely to support Warren.”

Michael Bloomberg writes in the Orlando Sentinel: “I’ll state it clearly: I support statehood for Puerto Rico. And as president, I will work to pass a bill making it a reality, subject to approval by the people of Puerto Rico — who will make the ultimate decision…”

“We believe taking Puerto Rican voters seriously starts in the Democratic primary, and that’s why I’m opening up an office in San Juan and building a ground operation — because the best way to stop Puerto Rico from being ignored in the future is to stop ignoring it right now.”

Rep. Scott Peters (D-CA) announced he will support Michael Bloomberg for president, Politico reports.

Rep. Seth Moulton (D-MA.) endorsed Joe Biden for the Democratic Party’s nomination for president, citing what he said was the former vice president’s ability to build a coalition within the party and proven foreign-policy credentials, the Wall Street Journal reports.

Nate Cohn: “On the one hand, many regular voters don’t participate in caucuses. One-third of people who participated in a recent Iowa Democratic primary — usually considered all but certain voters — said they weren’t likely to caucus, and these voters backed Mr. Biden by 11 points in the Times/Siena poll. The large number of Democratic primary voters who seem uninterested in attending the Iowa caucuses is all the more surprising given that recent Iowa primary elections for Senate, House, governor or local offices were not particularly competitive and certainly did not attract national attention.”

“On the other hand, a presidential caucus — and perhaps especially Bernie Sanders — draws a large number of voters to the polls who do not vote regularly. As a result, it was Mr. Sanders who led the Times/Siena poll — by seven points — despite weakness among regular and consistent voters. His supporters may not vote so often, but he led among those who said they had caucused before, including in 2016. Most important, he led among those who said they would show up next week, and therefore led the poll.”

After the most recent set of polls this weekend, Michael Bloomberg has now surpassed Pete Buttigieg in the RealClearPolitics national polling average and is now running fourth behind Joe Biden, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren.

Pete Buttigieg is out with a closing television ad in Iowa that will air statewide through caucus night, just one week from today.

Washington Post-ABC News poll: “With just over nine months until Election Day, Americans see Trump as a slight favorite for reelection, with 49% expecting him to win and 43% predicting that his Democratic challenger will prevail.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

4 comments on “The Campaign Report – January 27, 2020

  1. RE Vanella

    Re: Neera tweet. No organizers I know can afford private security detail. Actually nobody I’ve known can afford it. This tweet, from what I’m lead to understand by very learned people, is called gaslighting. Or maybe it’s a trope. Who can tell? I can’t even read.

    • There are progressive activists that can afford security.

      This is not gaslighting or a trope. It’s not ‘fake news’. It’s very real. (#notallBerniesupporters)

    • organizers you know arent very good at crowd-sourcing funds then. explains a lot. It isnt *that hard to get protection. I helped chip in so a local (to ny) performer i follow could hire private security bc a man decided she was his girlfriend. I think Bernie would dislike you, dude.

  2. One Buttigieg organizer was only saved by the Bible that he keeps in his vest pocket. But seriously folks… let’s keep it wholesome, okay? We are all going to have to rally around Bernie when he wins.

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