The Campaign Report – January 10, 2020

A new Fox News poll in Nevada shows Joe Biden leading with 23%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 17%, Tom Steyer at 12%, Elizabeth Warren at 12%, Pete Buttigieg at 6% and Andrew Yang at 4%.

Another new Fox News poll in South Carolina finds Joe Biden leading with 36%, followed by Tom Steyer at 15%, Bernie Sanders at 14%, Elizabeth Warren at 10% and Pete Buttigieg at 4%. With these two polls, Politico  reports Steyer has now qualified for next week’s debate.

A new Monmouth poll in New Hampshire finds Pete Buttigieg leading the Democratic presidential race with 20%, followed by Joe Biden at 19%, Bernie Sanders at 18% and Elizabeth Warren at 15%. They are followed by Amy Klobuchar at 6%, Tulsi Gabbard at 4%, Tom Steyer at 4%, Andrew Yang at 3%, Michael Bennet at 2%, and Cory Booker at 1%.

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “The race remains fairly wide-open. To the extent that New Hampshire voters could take some cues from Iowa, it’s also worth keeping an eye on lower polling candidates like Klobuchar if any of the leading contenders stumble in the earlier Iowa contest.”

Nate Cohn: “The explanation for Mr. Steyer’s surge is straightforward: uncontested dominance of the airwaves. According to FiveThirtyEight’s ad spending tracker, he has spent more on television advertisements than all other candidates combined — not counting the other billionaire in the race, Michael Bloomberg.”

“In contrast with Mr. Bloomberg, Mr. Steyer’s advertisements are concentrated in the four early states, though his spending in Iowa and New Hampshire has not yielded a similar breakthrough. That’s probably because other candidates are spending there. There may be another reason: Perhaps there’s more to the claim than many assume that Iowa and New Hampshire take their responsibilities at the top of the calendar more seriously than other states.”

“The Fox polls suggest that Mr. Steyer has made broad gains among Democratic voters, spanning most age, educational, racial and ideological groups. The breadth of his support is fairly impressive, given that the Democratic electorate has often split along factional lines so far this cycle. The depth of his support is untested, though.”

“Elizabeth Warren is often portrayed in media as a figure of the left-wing, locked in a battle with Bernie Sanders for the progressive base of the party. In fact, polling frequently shows she’s the second choice not just of Sanders voters, but of Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg supporters, too,” Politico reports.

“Seeking a spark heading into the Iowa caucuses, Warren and her allies are making a surprising closing argument: That she’s best positioned to unite and excite the party — and is therefore the most electable.”

“Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti, who flirted with the idea of running for president but skipped the 2020 campaign, endorsed former Vice President Joe Biden for the Democratic nomination,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

“Garcetti will be one of Biden’s highest-profile supporters in California’s March 3 primary, but the endorsement is unlikely to have any practical impact on the highly competitive race.”

“A new PAC created to support Deval Patrick’s presidential run announced a $2 million ad buy in early primary states, beginning with New Hampshire,” Politico reports.

A new Glangariff Group poll in Michigan finds Sen. Gary Peters (D) with a narrow lead over challenger John James (R), 44% to 40%.

Mike Bloomberg told ABC News this week he will not take any steps to release women who have signed confidentiality agreements with his company to speak publicly about past allegations that the former New York City mayor fostered a hostile work environment for some female employees.

Joe Biden is on the verge of picking up a key fundraiser who was Sen. Kamala Harris’ national finance chairman when she was running for the White House, CNBC reports.

“Jon Henes, a partner at the law firm Kirkland & Ellis, has indicated to friends and Biden’s close allies that he’s looking to move ahead with opening his extensive donor network to the former vice president.”

Amy Walter: “For a party that counts on women, people of color and young folks for votes, it is a bit ironic that the leading candidates in the national polls are two old white guys…”

“The durability of these two candidates is a testament to some important political truths. First, even in this day and age of ‘viral celebrity,’ it is tough to build an enduring political brand. The second is that having experience running for president is a bigger deal than many people appreciate.”

“Biden and Sanders are not just the best-known candidates in the race, but they also have the most defined identities. You know what you get with them. And, that means they have a more stable base than anyone else in the field.”

Greg Schultz, campaign manager for Joe Biden, ripped Facebook after the social media giant said it would continue to allow political candidates to lie in advertisements on its platform.

Said Schultz: “Purposefully allowing and profiting off of the spreading of lies is a serious threat to the democratic process.”

The new FiveThirtyEight model shows Joe Biden is currently favored to win the most delegates in Democratic presidential primary, but the race is still wide open.

A new USA Today/Ipsos poll finds a majority of those surveyed, by 52% to 34%, called President Trump’s behavior towards Iran “reckless.” In addition, 65% think the actions make America “less safe.”

Cory Booker told the Associated Press that the upcoming impeachment trial could be a “big, big blow” to his efforts to win next month’s Iowa caucuses.

Booker claimed that his campaign’s internal metrics indicate he would finish in a “pretty exciting place” in the February 3 caucuses, but his Senate responsibilities could hamper his ability to remain competitive.

Steve Inskeep: “Can any past presidential campaign help us understand the election year now beginning? There never was a sitting president like Donald Trump. But if we widen our lens, we find timely echoes in an era when America was rapidly changing, the old political order was coming apart, and it seemed like the country was about to split at the seams.”

“An early version of modern-day America was already visible in June 1856. At a music hall in Philadelphia, delegates of the recently founded Republican Party gathered for their convention and chose their first-ever presidential nominee. Supporters unfurled an American flag onstage that bore his name: John C. Frémont.”

Key takeaway: “What are lessons for 2020? Expect a terrifying year.”

New York Times: “There is a way that people generally run for president. And there is whatever Mr. Bloomberg is doing.”

“Looking past Iowa and New Hampshire to focus on the delegate-rich contests that come in the months that follow, Mr. Bloomberg is betting that his zag-while-they-zig electoral strategy and functionally bottomless resources can make him the standard-bearer of a Democratic Party whose 2020 primary has been defined in part by progressive disdain for the billionaire class.”

“It is not quite, as admirers present it, that Mr. Bloomberg is a chess-master whose opponents play checkers; he is more accurately working to bury the board with a gusher of cash so overpowering that everyone forgets how the game was always played in the first place.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

1 comment on “The Campaign Report – January 10, 2020

  1. cassandram

    Marianne Williamson drops out of the 2020 race.

    No one has seen her since a summer debate and I have no idea how she hung in until now.

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