The Campaign Report – 10/30/2019

A new Selzer & Company poll find just 32% of all suburban voters now say they would definitely vote to re-elect President Trump, while another 14% said they would consider someone else, and 51% said they would definitely vote for a candidate other than Trump.

Suburban women especially appear motivated to make their disapproval felt: 88% of suburban women said they would definitely vote in the 2020 presidential election, ten points higher than voters overall.

Said pollster Ann Selzer: “This to me is striking not so much in that they are aligning against President Trump, but the degree to which they are aligning against President Trump. That is sort of the pin in the hand grenade. They have the opinion and they’re more likely to vote.”

A new USA Today/Suffolk poll finds Biden leading the Democratic primary with 26% of likely Democratic primary and caucus voters, followed by Warren at 17%, Sanders at 13% and Buttigieg at 10%.

A new Morning Consult poll finds 50% of voters said they were either definitely or probably ready to have a commander in chief who is openly gay, compared with 37% who said they were either definitely or probably not ready.

Politico: “For years, Buttigieg’s stint at McKinsey & Company, the international management consulting firm, formed a key part of his political biography — from selling Hoosiers on his “experience around economics and business” as a green, 28-year-old candidate for Indiana state treasurer to talking earlier this year about the ‘perspective’ he gained as part of the business world. But the resume line has faded from Buttigieg’s stump speech amid revelations about McKinsey’s work with authoritarian governments and growing skepticism of large corporations.”

A new New York Times/Harvard poll asked Americans to pick their favorite health care plan from three choices. “One resembled the Medicare for all proposal; one was like more incremental Democratic proposals; and one was like a plan proposed by congressional Republicans, which would reduce federal involvement in the health system and give more money and autonomy to states.”

“The share of the public supporting each option wound up being almost identical — around 30% each.”

“That means that most Americans support Democratic approaches to changing the health care system. But that group is about evenly split between an expansive set of changes under the Medicare for all proposal favored by Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, and a less sweeping overhaul that would simply move the country closer to universal coverage, such as those from Joe Biden and Pete Buttigieg.”

Politico: “After months of parliamentary stalemate, a bill paving the way for a December general election — the first since 1923 — overcame its first major hurdle on Tuesday night. MPs backed an election by a huge margin with 438 votes in favor and just 20 against.”

“Each of the U.K.’s main political parties are banking on a national ballot to unblock the Brexit paralysis in their favor — but by throwing the electoral dice in the air, they are all taking a gamble that the opposite Brexit outcome could come to pass.”

By 52% to 44%, voters across six battleground states oppose impeaching and removing President Trump from office according to a new New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll of registered voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. But, by 52% to 44%, voters across the six states support the impeachment inquiry being conducted by the House of Representatives.

Rep. Joe Cunningham (D-SC) told the Charleston Post & Courier that he intends to vote in favor of a House resolution this week that will lay out the ground rules for the ongoing impeachment inquiry into President Trump.

“The vote, which is expected Thursday, is not over whether to impeach Trump — a question that Cunningham emphasized he remains firmly undecided on — but simply to clarify the process as it moves into an increasingly public phase.”

“Still, the decision by House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) to hold a process vote nevertheless placed the vulnerable freshman Democrat in a precarious political position, forcing him to take a side for the first time in a polarizing debate that he had generally avoided thus far.”

New York Times: “There are three governor’s races and control of the Virginia legislature at stake in this off-year election, but it’s Kentucky where the most consequential campaign is taking place — and where the political impact of impeachment on the two parties is being put to the most visible test.”

“The Beshear-Bevin contest represents the first, best indicator of whether Republicans can harness anger over the impeachment inquiry into Mr. Trump to rouse their rural base — or whether Democrats will benefit from an increasingly urban voting bloc that is energized by what it sees as a lawless presidency.”

Gen: “Julián Castro has a plea to voters: Help him raise $800,000 by October 31, or he will be forced to drop out of the Democratic presidential primary… His plea elicited a rush of small donations — including some from people who say they have no interest in voting for him.”

Federal political committees have spent more than $20 million at businesses owned by President Trump since the 2008 cycle, according to OpenSecrets.

“Roughly 99% of that money has come since the start of the 2016 cycle, when Trump announced his bid for president and began spending campaign money at his own properties.”

“George Papadopoulos, a former Trump campaign aide who was a key figure in the FBI’s Russia probe, filed paperwork Tuesday to run for the U.S. House seat being vacated by Democrat Katie Hill,” the AP reports.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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