Campaign Report – Both Biden and Warren poll well with the WWC

A new Democracy Corps (D) survey finds Democrats have two electable candidates at the moment — Joe Biden (leads by 8 points) and Elizabeth Warren (leads by 7), with Bernie Sanders at the edge (5 percent).

“One of the reasons both Biden and Warren are proving to be electable is the surprising result with white working class voters. While Biden has more of a working class base in the Democratic primary, the 2020 election is being shaped by bigger forces. In this combined sample of white working class women (643 respondents), Biden loses by 9 points (50 to 41 percent) and Warren by 10 (51 to 41 percent). Both are gains on 2018 and a dramatic shift from 2016. That means the 13-point shift to the Democrats in the off-year has continued another 4 points now.”

“They both lose to Trump among white working class men (combined sample of 562) by a much bigger margin — 31 points and 33 points respectively. As daunting as that appears, the trend with men is encouraging as well. Democrats gained 14 points in 2018 and Biden would take those gains 3 points further. Warren holds the 2018 gains, as there is no evidence of working class voters going back to the 2016 Trump margins.”

Key takeaway: “Both Biden and Warren perform comparably with the white working class, and both make impressive gains with the women. That may be the unfolding story in the 2020 elections.”

Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI) reversed herself and now backs an impeachment inquiry into President Trump, stating that her review of the whistleblower complaint, the memo of Trump’s July call with Ukraine’s president and Trump’s comments over the past few days swayed her decision, Axios  reports.

As it stands, Tulsi Gabbard will not be the Democratic Presidential Nominee and she already is the underdog in her congressional primary for renominantion. Opposing impeachment outright and voting no would have ended her political career in Hawaii. It appears she finally recognized that.

The DNC said that at least 12 presidential hopefuls are expected to appear together on a single night at next month’s televised debate in Ohio, the New York Times reports.

“The Ohio debate, on Oct. 15, is set to include the 10 candidates who appeared at this month’s debate in Houston… In addition to that group, the billionaire Tom Steyer and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard are scheduled to take the stage.”

A new NPR/PBS/Marist poll shows Americans support the impeachment inquiry against him by 49% to 46%.

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll shows Americans evenly divided on the inquiry, 43% to 43%.

A new YouGov poll fund that 55% of Americans would support impeachment if it’s proven that Trump suspended military aid to Ukraine to force the country’s officials to investigate Joe Biden and his son.

Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA’ old MSNBC that President Trump “reeks of corruption” and “sounds like a criminal.” Said Harris: “I was a prosecutor, and in a court I would be arguing that this is evidence of consciousness of guilt. The guy is scared because he knows he is going to be defeated in this election.”

Julián Castro warned supporters that his presidential campaign will be over if he does not qualify for the November debate, the Texas Tribunereports.

“The email sought donations for ads to help him reach the new polling threshold: 3% in four national polls or 5% in two surveys from the first four early voting states. Castro has already met the donor requirement of 165,000 individuals but hasn’t met the polling requirement — or even come close.”

Former North Carolina Republican Party Chairman Robin Hayes has agreed to plead guilty to lying to the FBI and faces a court hearing next week, the Raleigh News & Observer reports.

“Prosecutors accused Hayes of lying to FBl agents in a case that led to indictments not only of Hayes but businessman and political contributor Greg Lindberg. In April a federal grand jury indicted them and two of Lindberg’s associates on conspiracy and bribery charges for their alleged attempts to influence N.C. Insurance Commissioner Mike Causey.”

New York Times review of Piety & Power: Mike Pence and the Taking of the White House by Tom LoBianco includes this amazing anecdote on the vice president’s wife, Karen.

“Her influence seems significant. The cherry-red telephone on his desk as governor was a direct line to Karen, who maintained an office across the statehouse atrium but preferred phone conversations to avoid prying eyes. Karen ‘was livid’ at Trump’s prurient comments in the Access Hollywoodtape, but her husband concluded it was too late to drop off the ticket. On election night, 2016, Karen refused to kiss Pence.”

Said Karen: “You got what you wanted, Mike. Leave me alone.”

Sen. Cory Booker’s presidential campaign announced that it had raised $1,269,551, still short of the 1.7 million the campaign said it needed by the end of the month. Booker said he would drop out of the race if he didn’t meet the goal.

“National Rifle Association funds paid for lodging and travel of Russian nationals throughout 2015 and 2016, as part of a relationship that allowed foreign actors looking to influence the U.S. election, including now-convicted Maria Butina, to infiltrate the gun-rights group, a new report asserts,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The report, released Friday by Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee, also says NRA leaders traveled to Moscow in December 2015 partly on the NRA’s dime, even though some went there to pursue their own personal business opportunities. This raises questions, the report says, about whether they violated laws on how nonprofit funds can be used.”

“The trip to Moscow gave Russians an opening to the organization as the election was ramping up, as well as access to other events involving Republican party leaders.”

“Allies of Joe Biden, concerned about his slipping poll numbers in the Democratic presidential primary and an onslaught of attacks from President Trump, are weighing whether to mobilize a super PAC supporting Mr. Biden and have held conversations with wealthy donors to gauge their interest in contributing money,” the New York Times reports.

“Advisers to presidential candidate Joe Biden are weighing the introduction of a new tax on Wall Street, as the former vice president now stands alone among the Democratic presidential front-runners in not backing a multitrillion-dollar ‘wealth tax’ on the richest Americans,” the Washington Post reports.

“The plan under consideration from Biden’s advisers could tax financial transactions such as the sale of stocks and bonds.”

Sen. Michael Bennet may not be registering high in the polls, but he told CBS News that he will be campaigning for the Democratic nomination for the presidency through the Iowa caucus and the New Hampshire primary in the hopes of outperforming expectations.

Joe Biden said that President Trump is trying to “hijack an election” by repeatedly pushing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to investigate the former vice president and his son, CNN reports.

Said Biden: “He’d like to get foreign help to win elections.”

“A majority of freshman Democrats who won House districts held by Republicans in 2018 now support an impeachment inquiry, spurred by the whistleblower complaint about President Trump’s conversation with the Ukrainian president,” CBS News reports..

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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