Elections National

Polling and Campaign Report – 4/2/2019

A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds that a combined 68% of Americans are either enthusiastic (14%) or comfortable (54%) with a presidential candidate who is gay or lesbian.

As recently as 2006, more than half of Americans said they would be “very uncomfortable” (34%) or have “reservations” (19%) about a gay or lesbian person running for president.

Pete Buttigieg announced that his presidential campaign raised over $7 million in the first quarter.

Politico: “The challenge for Buttigieg goes beyond teaching America how to pronounce his last name. Local operatives said the 37-year-old lags behind the rest of the sprawling pack of 2020 candidates in building infrastructure in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina — a problem Buttigieg’s campaign is racing to correct as resources start to roll in.”

A new Harvard Institute of Politics Poll finds Sen. Bernie Sanders is the favorite among 18- to 29-year-old likely Democratic primary voters at 31%, followed by former Vice President Joe Biden follows in second place at 20%, Beto O’Rourke at 10%, Sen. Kamala Harris at 5%, Sen. Cory Booker at 3%, and Andrew Yang at 2%.

Axios: “The youngest Americans — millennials and Generation Z — will make up 37% of the electorate in 2020, per Pew Research.”

PPP’s newest national poll finds that Bill Barr’s letter summarizing the findings of the Mueller investigation hasn’t done much to help Donald Trump with public opinion.

-49% of voters think that Trump has committed obstruction of justice, to 40% who say they don’t think so.

-44% of voters think that members of Trump’s campaign team worked in association with Russia to help Trump win the election for President to 43% who don’t think so.

-51% of voters characterize Trump as being a liar to 42% who disagree with that descriptor.

-68% of voters think Robert Mueller’s full report should be released publicly, to only 19% who don’t think it should be.

Trump’s approval rating is 42%, identical to what it was on PPP’s last national poll earlier in March. 52% of voters disapprove of the job he’s doing.

The Affordable Care Act continues to enjoy the new found popularity it’s had since Trump took office. 49% of voters support it to just 30% now who are opposed. There’s strong opposition to the Justice Department’s recently expressed support for striking down the Affordable Care Act- just 34% of voters agree with them on that to 53% who disagree.

Trump’s proposed cuts to Medicaid and Medicare are possibly the most unpopular thing he’s done since taking office. Just 20% of voters support them to 67% who are opposed.

The tax plan that Trump and Republicans hoped would get them back on the good side of public opinion in late 2017 after the party’s summer troubles with health care is proving to be a problem for them too. Only 25% of voters support it, to 40% who are opposed. Just 25% of voters think the tax plan has actually helped their family’s finances, with the other 65% pretty evenly split between saying it’s actually hurt (32%) or had no impact (33%) on their families. There continues to be a strong sense that it was done just for the benefit of the wealthy- 52% think the rich will be the main beneficiary to 25% who say the middle class and 8% the poor.

Democrats have a 51-40 lead on the generic Congressional ballot, consistent with their strong advantage on that metric throughout the 2018 election cycle.

New York Times: “She was the first major candidate to announce; she has set the pace on policy, unveiling a series of far-reaching proposals on child care, taxes and the role of large technology companies; and she defied the pleas of her longtime finance director and declared that she would stop pursuing big donations altogether, leading to his resignation.”

“But as the first fund-raising deadline arrives at midnight on Sunday, Ms. Warren — who last year was widely considered a would-be front-runner — finds herself in a political vise. Her rivals on either ideological flank will raise substantially more money in the first quarter than she does, and her focus on policy has not yet translated in the polls.”

This is pretty cool: The Democratic presidential field, as seen through Google searches.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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