Elections National

The Polling Report – 3/23/19

A new Pew Research poll finds that 59% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents believe that having a majority of the population made up of blacks, Asians, Hispanics and other racial minorities by the year 2050 will weaken American customs and values.

Just 13% of Republicans say the coming demographic milestone — which Census demographers have predicted — will strengthen the country.

First Read: “Don’t forget the ways that Trump has said the quiet thing out loud here. He’s referred to immigration at the southern border as an ‘invasion’; he’s supported a ban on Muslims entering the United States during his campaign; and he’s reportedly used slurs to describe immigration from Haiti and some African countries.”

First Read: “One theory of the 2020 race for the Democratic nomination is that the delegate chase in the Super Tuesday states — California (Harris’ home state), Texas (O’Rourke’s), Massachusetts (Elizabeth Warren’s), Minnesota (Amy Klobuchar’s) and Vermont (Sanders’) — will go a long way in determining the eventual winner.”

“The logic: If you can rack up delegates in your state as well as the competition’s home states under the Democrats’ proportional allocation system, you’re going to be in good shape.”

“The other theory of the 2020 Dem race is that Iowa and New Hampshire are only more important than ever. How viable will Harris be on Super Tuesday if she can’t finish in the Top 2 or Top 3 in Iowa?”

A new USA Today/Suffolk poll finds that Democratic voters by double digits, 55% to 35%, say they are more interested in nominating a presidential candidate who can defeat President Trump than one they agree with most on the issues.

However, in a hypothetical match-up, Trump edges out an unnamed Democratic nominee, 39% to 36%, with 11% supporting an unnamed third party candidate and 15% undecided.

“Senior Republicans are resigned to President Trump losing the popular vote in 2020, conceding the limits of the flamboyant incumbent’s political appeal and revealing just how central the Electoral College has become to the party’s White House prospects,” the Washington Examiner reports.

“Some Republicans say the problem is Trump’s populist brand of partisan grievance. It’s an attitude tailor-made for the Electoral College in the current era of regionally Balkanized politics, but anathema to attracting a broad, national coalition that can win the most votes, as past presidents did when seeking re-election amid a booming economy. Others argue that neither Trump, nor possibly any Republican, could win the popular vote when most big states are overwhelmingly liberal.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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