Elections National

The Polling Report – 3/21/19

Our regular look at the week’s polling and election news:

“Nevada Democrats released a list of proposed changes to their caucus for the 2020 presidential elections that includes major updates to the voting process to make it more accessible for residents,” the HuffPost reports.

“As part of the caucus revamp, the Nevada State Democratic Party is proposing a four-day early voting period, similar to the one offered during general elections, for those who cannot attend the state party’s caucus on Feb. 22, 2020, as well as a two-day virtual caucus for voters who cannot be present at the caucus in February.”

Kyle Kondik: “As an addendum to our Electoral College ratings release from a few weeks ago, we thought we’d track the presidential voting in each state relative to the nation over the last five elections to give readers a sense of where each state is trending. We split the 50 states into 10 different regional categories, loosely based on the regions and divisions of the U.S. Census Bureau.”

“Generally speaking, the Sun Belt and West are trending Democratic. The Midwest and North more broadly, along with Greater Appalachia, are trending Republican.”

Ballotpedia: “One-hundred and five of the 6,073 state legislative races in 2018 were decided by fewer than 100 votes. Ninety-eight of the 105 races were in state house chambers, rather than state senate chambers.”

“Partisan control changed in 54 of the 105 races. Thirty-six of the partisan changes (34.3% of the 105 races) were to Democrats, and 18 (17.1%) were to Republicans. Of the 51 seats that did not change partisan control, Democrats held 15 (14.3%) and Republicans held 36 (34.3%).”

“One of the largest Democratic super PACs, American Bridge, is embarking on a $50 million effort designed to soften President Donald Trump’s support among the group that cost Democrats the White House in 2016 — white working-class voters in the Upper Midwest,” NBC Newsreports.

From the group’s memo: “We understand that we may not win these voters back entirely, but if we don’t make inroads into these areas, we will win the popular vote, lose the Electoral College, and the Senate could be lost for a decade.”

A new Winthrop poll in South Carolina finds Sen. Lindsey Graham’s (R-SC) stature has “steadily risen” among state Republicans since becoming a close and vocal ally of President Trump. Graham’s 74% approval rating among Republicans is up 23 points from April 2018 and is now even with Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC).

A new Quinnipiac poll in New York finds Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), who is running for president, with a lowly 29% approval rating in her home state.

Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO) “is taking the final steps toward becoming the second Colorado Democrat in the 2020 race for president, with a possible announcement coming soon,” the Denver Post reports. “While an announcement is not imminent, Bennet could announce within a month.”

Why? We already have one boring Coloraran white guy in the race.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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