Pew Research: “Among the public overall, 38% describe themselves as independents, while 31% are Democrats and 26% call themselves Republicans… These shares have changed only modestly in recent years, but the proportion of independents is higher than it was from 2000-2008, when no more than about a third of the public identified as independents.”
“An overwhelming majority of independents (81%) continue to ‘lean’ toward either the Republican Party or the Democratic Party.”
A new Quinnipiac poll in Florida finds 51% of voters say they definitely won’t vote for President Trump if he is the Republican candidate in the 2020 presidential race while another 31% say they definitely would vote for him and 14% say they would consider voting for him.
Nate Cohn: “His relatively close loss is promising for the party because he did not take full advantage of the longer-term trends that might put it over the top sooner than later. His strength came almost exclusively from white voters, not from the growing Hispanic population in the state.”
“Mr. O’Rourke’s close result wasn’t because of an exceptional turnout that will be hard for other Democrats to repeat in 2020. Republican voters, defined as those who have participated in a recent Republican primary, turned out at a higher rate than Democratic ones. Neither the Hispanic nor youth voter share of the electorate was higher than it was in 2016, when President Trump won the state by nine points.”
“On the contrary, Democrats in 2020 can be expected to enjoy a more favorable turnout because presidential races tend to draw in more young and Hispanic voters.”
A new Navigator Research poll finds that just 38% of Americans believe President Trump generally does what’s best for the country — a new low and a 6-point decline from December — while 62% now tend to say the president puts himself first.
Also interesting: Support for special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigation has reached an all-time high of 58%.