Polling Report – 3/6/19

A new Monmouth poll finds President Trump’s job approval rating remains stable but support for impeachment proceedings has ticked up.

Trump’s overall job rating stands at 44% approve and 51% disapprove. This is virtually unchanged from his 41% to 54% standing in late January and his 43% to 49% rating in November.

The poll finds that 42% of Americans feel that Trump should be impeached and compelled to leave the presidency while 54% disagree. Support for impeachment of Trump has risen slightly since November, when 36% favored impeachment and 59% did not.

A new Bendixen & Amandi International poll in Florida finds just 40% of voters said they believed President Trump should be reelected, while 53% were opposed to a second term.

A new Quinnipiac poll finds that 64% of Americans think President Trump committed crimes before he became president. But voters are divided 45% to 43% on whether Trump committed any crimes while he has been president.

Congress should not begin impeachment proceedings against Trump, American voters say 59% to 35%. But Congress should do more to investigate “Michael Cohen’s claims about President Trump’s unethical and illegal behavior,” voters say 58% to 35%

“One of the most prominent Democratic super PACs in the country does not have Ohio high on its list of targets for the 2020 presidential election, further eroding the state’s status as a presidential battleground,” the Cleveland Plain Dealer reports. “A report from Priorities USA… significantly downgrades Ohio’s targetability, listing it as a ‘GOP Watch’ state along with Texas and Iowa.”

“That’s below other more traditional swing states like Florida, Pennsylvania and North Carolina, but also historically red states like Arizona and Georgia.”

A new Brookings study finds that 83% of the voting population lived in counties where support for Democrats has improved since 2016.

“This increased Democratic support was not confined to traditional Democratic base counties. It occurred in suburbs, smaller metropolitan and rural counties, and most noticeably, in counties with concentrations of older, native-born and white residents without college degrees. Moreover, at the state level, enough states flipped from Republican majorities in the 2016 presidential election to Democratic majorities in the 2018 House elections to project a 2020 Democratic Electoral College win.”

“Trump won more than 270 Electoral College votes, based on winning support from states such as Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Arizona. All of those states registered Democratic advantages in their 2018 House elections.”

A new Quinnipiac poll finds American voters overwhelmingly disapprove of President Trump using emergency executive powers to fund a wall on the border with Mexico, 66% to 31%. However, Republicans back his use of emergency powers for the wall, 69% to 29%. Every other listed party, gender, education, age and racial group disapproves.

First Read: “You have a problem on your hands when a man who’s pleaded guilty for lying to Congress is perceived as being more honest than you are.”

“That’s precisely the situation President Trump is facing when a Quinnipiac poll released Tuesday found voters saying – by a 50% to 35% margin – that they believe Michael Cohen more than his former boss. The only groups who believe Trump more than Cohen are Republicans (79% to 11%), whites without college degrees (50% to 37%) and white men (51% to 37%).”

“And it’s not just the Quinnipiac poll. Our own recent NBC/WSJ surveyfound that only 37% of Americans think that Trump has been honest and truthful about the Russia probe, versus 58% who disagree.”

Benjy Sarlin: “His re-election depends on tearing down the Democratic nominee, but if voters have tuned out everything he says that makes it harder to stick.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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