The 2020 field is so big that we already entering the Winnowing Phase where potential candidates start dropping out when they realize either that their families want no part of a presidential run or that they have no real shot to win for a variety of reasons, or both. Asshole and con artist Michael Avenatti has already dropped out. Former Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick (D) is calling close allies over the past few days and informing them he is not running for president in 2020, Politico reports. Governor Andrew Cuomo says he is not running. Same with New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand.
The field is so large that it helps to create “lanes” to classify the candidates. Let’s do it first by the “job” or “position” they hold.
Obama Administration: Biden (DE), AG Eric Holder (VA), Secretary Julian Castro (TX)
Senators: Elizabeth Warren (MA), Kamala Harris (CA), Cory Booker (NJ), Sherrod Brown (OH), Amy Klobuchar (MN), Bernie Sanders (VT)
Governors: John Hickenlooper (CO), Steve Bullock (MT), Terry McAuliffe (VA)
Congress: Beto O’Rourke (TX), John Delaney (MD), Tim Murphy (OH), Seth Moulton (MA), Tulsi Gabbard (HI)
Mayors: Michael Bloomberg (NYC), Eric Garcetti (Los Angeles), Mitch Landrieu (New Orleans)
Billionaires: Tom Steyer (Hedge fund), Howard Schultz (Starbucks)
Other: State Senator Richard Ojeda (WV)
Next, to the extent we can put ideological labels on candidates, let’s classify them as such. This is going to be a somewhat meaningless exercise since ProgressivePunch and other organizations label Kamala Harris as the most progressive Senator based on her voting record, but I would not classify her, based on my “eye” test, as being such. Indeed, the term progressive has become so overused that I feel people use it when they really are talking about liberals. I am a liberal. I can be a progressive at times based on some issues. But in the Bernie Sander era, being a progressive really means being a leftist or a purist who disdains Democrats more so than Republicans. So that shrinks that category in my view.
And yes, there will be cross over candidates that can be labeled progressive, liberal or centrist. I will label them to be Cross-overs. And when I have no clue, I will put that candidate in an unknown category.
Progressive: Sanders, Warren
Liberal: Holder, Booker, Harris, Brown, Klobuchar
Cross Over: O’Rourke, Gabbard, Biden
Centrist: Bullock, Bloomberg, Landrieu, Ojeda, Murphy, Moulton, McAuliffe
Unknown: Castro, Garcetti, Steyer, Schultz, Delaney
So take the poll: