A new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll finds Democrats leading Republicans in the generic congressional ballot by a stunning 17-points, 57% to 40% among likely voters.
“That’s a notable increase in Democratic support from the previous week, when the poll found Democrats with a 13-point advantage. The increase, which stemmed from small shifts among several groups of voters, may partly reflect timing. The final two days of the poll coincided with the arrest on Friday of a Florida man on charges of sending explosive devices to prominent Democrats and critics of President Trump, and the killing on Saturday of 11 people at a synagogue in Pittsburgh.”
GENERIC BALLOT
USC Dornsife/LA Times—Democrats 57—Republicans 40
Public Religion Research Institute—Democrats 48—Republicans 39
A new Harvard Institute of Politics poll of 18- to 29- year olds showing that young Americans are significantly more likely to vote in the upcoming midterm elections compared to 2010 and 2014. Overall, 40% report that they will “definitely vote” in the midterms, with 54% of Democrats, 43% of Republicans and 24% of Independents considered likely voters.
US SENATE
Massachusetts—Suffolk University—Warren 56—Diehl 34
New Jersey—Emerson College—Menendez 47—Hugin 42
New Mexico—Emerson College—Heinrich 48—Rich 32
Michigan—Emerson College—Stabenow 52—James 43
Texas—Quinnipiac—Cruz 51—O’Rourke 46
GOVERNORS
Massachusetts—Suffolk University—Baker 65—Gonzalez 26
New Mexico—Emerson College—Lujan Grisham 53—Pearce 44
Michigan—Emerson College—Whitmer 52—Schuette 41
One week to go, still tempering my enthusiasm but it does look good. Still harboring hope for Beto over the filth we call Cruz, but he has definitely fought the good fight regardless.