The Polling Report for October 22, 2018

The Houston Chronicle reports on a shocking turnout in the early turnout in Houston: “Thousands of people were already camped out at a key early voting location in Houston on Monday morning, hours before voting was even set to begin.”

“Nearly 2,000 people stood in line outside of the Metropolitan Multi-Service Center on West Gray near River Oaks in a scene that looked more like a Black Friday shopping morning.”

The Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife poll finds Democrats with a landslide 13% margin in the generic ballot question of whether the likely voter perfers a Democratic Congress or a Republican one.  Democrats lead 55% to 42%.  The poll was conducted over October 14 until October 20.

A new Star Tribune/MPR News Minnesota Poll finds Sen. Tina Smith (D) ahead of challenger Karin Housley (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 41%.

In Minnesota’s other Senate race, Sen. Amy Klombuchar (D) is headed for a landslide win over challenger Jim Newberger (R), 56% to 33%.

A new Quinnipiac poll in Florida finds Sen. Bill Nelson (D) leading Gov. Rick Scott (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 52% to 46%.

Said pollster Peter Brown: “At this point, Sen. Nelson’s six-point overall lead is built on his large margin among independent voters, 60% to 38%. If that margin holds up, the senator will be difficult to beat. Moreover, Sen. Nelson’s 20-point advantage among women is twice Gov. Scott’s 10-point edge among men.”

He added: “Nelson is just better liked. Florida likely voters view him favorably by 10 percentage points, and see Gov. Scott unfavorably by five points.”

A new Gray TV poll in West Virginia finds Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) is now 16 percentage points ahead of challenger Patrick Morrisey (R), 52% to 36%.

Also interesting: “Fifty-eight percent of West Virginia voters approve of the job President Trump is doing, while 40% disapprove.”

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

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