The Polling Report for October 2, 2018

A new Quinnipiac poll finds Democrats leading Republicans in the generic congressional ballot by seven points, 49% to 42%.  Also interesting: American voters say by a 50% to 43% margin that they want Democrats to control the U.S. Senate.

A new Pew Research survey of 25 countries finds the global image of the United States has sunk to historic lows since Donald Trump took office, with only Israelis, Russians and Kenyans showing an increase in positive attitudes.

“In most countries, a majority said they had no confidence in Trump. Only 7% of Spanish people, 9% of French people and 10% of Germans said they trusted Trump’s leadership. Even in Russia, where the US’s image has grown more positive under the current administration, Trump’s had fallen by 34 percentage points since last year.”

“Now, five weeks before Election Day, public polls show Democrats surging in races up and down the ballot in those Midwestern states, and even in less competitive states like conservative Kansas and liberal Illinois,” The Hill reports.

“Democrats hold just one governorship in the Midwest this year, in Minnesota. But public polls show Democratic candidates leading races for governor in Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Illinois and even Iowa… If a Democratic wave crests over the Midwest this year, even Ohio and Kansas are in play.”

“The situation is so grim in some states that Republican strategists believe weak gubernatorial candidates may cost the party down-ballot, in races for U.S. House seats.”

A new Monmouth poll in Virginia’s 10th congressional district finds Jennifer Wexton (D) continues to lead Rep. Barbara Comstock (R-VA), 50% to 44%.

“The GOP incumbent’s favorable ratings have improved since the summer, but the challenger holds the advantage on key issues and is bolstered by the fact that Pres. Donald Trump remains unpopular in the district. The poll also finds that controversy surrounding the current Supreme Court nomination is not having an appreciable impact on this House contest.”

“Wexton extends her advantage to 52% to 43% using a model that incorporates a turnout surge in Democratic precincts similar to the pattern seen in last year’s gubernatorial contest. A low turnout model shows Wexton with a smaller 50% to 46% edge.”


A new survey by Professors Peter Enns and Jonathon Schuldt at Cornell University asked likely voters which political party they trusted more to handle election security, tax reform, and the federal budget deficit.

Considering the upcoming midterm elections, the results do not bode well for Republicans. Likely voters favored Democrats on all three issues; a particularly noteworthy pattern because historically, Republicans have “owned” the issues of domestic security, taxes, and the deficit.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

1 comment on “The Polling Report for October 2, 2018

  1. What does it say about the American people that the Republicans have, in the past, ‘owned” the issues of taxes and the deficit? Other than the word SUCKERS!” of course.

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