The Polling Report for October 2, 2018

A new Quinnipiac poll finds 48% of American voters think the U.S. Senate should reject Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the U.S. Supreme Court, while 42% say Kavanaugh should be confirmed.

Key takeaway: Women oppose confirmation 55% to 37%, while men support it 49% to 40%.

A new CBS News poll finds 37% of Americans do not think the Senate should confirm Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh (up from 30% opposed last week) and 35% think the Senate should confirm (up from 32% last week) as partisan sentiments have hardened.

Democratic opposition has gone from 60% to 68%, and Republican support has gone from 69% to 75%. Independents are more closely divided and slightly more in favor of confirmation than opposed.

First Read: “One finding from this month’s NBC/WSJ poll that didn’t get as much attention as it deserved was this number: 59% of voters said they wanted to see a ‘great deal’ or ‘quite a bit’ of change from the way President Trump has been leading the country. By contrast, 40% said they wanted no change/not that much change/just some change.”

“That 59% wanting change was almost identical to the 62% who said this on the same question in November 1994 (when Republicans won control of Congress), and the 63% who said this in October 2010 (when the GOP won the House and picked up six Senate seats).”

“What’s more, those who said they wanted change in our September 2018 poll included 61 percent of independents, 65% of voters living in competitive House districts, 59% of suburban residents and even 32% of Republican voters (!!!).”

A new Stockton University poll finds Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ) barely ahead of challenger Bob Hugin (R), 45% to 43% among likely voters, with Libertarian Murray Sabrin at 3%.

“Menendez, who was reprimanded by a Senate ethics panel after corruption charges were dismissed following a mistrial, is viewed unfavorably by 54%, with 30% having favorable views and 6% unsure.”

A new Siena poll in New York finds Andrew Cuomo (D) leading Marc Molinaro (R), 50% to 28% among likely voters.  Cynthia Nixon, the actress who lost to Cuomo in the Democratic primary election, remains on the November ballot on the Working Families Party line and gets 10%.

A new Pew Research poll finds President Trump’s overall job rating stands at 38% and remains deeply divided by gender, race and educational attainment. While men are divided in views of Trump’s job performance (46% approve, 47% disapprove), more than twice as many women disapprove (63%) than approve (30%).

“As has been the case since he became president, Trump’s job approval ratings are divided along partisan lines; Trump’s job ratings are more polarized than any president dating to Dwight Eisenhower.”

“Similarly, there are large partisan divides in evaluations of Trump’s personal traits and characteristics, though the gaps are not as wide in views of Trump’s temperament and whether he stands up for his beliefs.”

A new CNN/SRSS poll in Nevada finds Jacky Rosen (D) leading Sen. Dean Heller (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 43% among likely voters.

A new CNN/SRSS poll in Missouri finds Sen. Claire McCaskill (D) edges challenger Josh Hawley (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 47% to 44% among likely voters.

A new Gray Television survey in West Virginia shows Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) leading challenger Patrick Morrisey (R) in his re-election race, 46% to 38%

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

5 comments on “The Polling Report for October 2, 2018

  1. That poll from NJ is terrifying. Menendez is almost corrupt enough to be an administration official and the fact that Schumer didnt have “the talk” with him ahead of their “lets beat the culture of corruption 2.0”, shows that his time as Leader is done. Imagine if we see best cases in texas and Nevada, only to lose the majority in NJ.

    • In the end, I think the machine in North Jersey will pull this out but it will likely be close. If we win Texas, Arizona, Tennessee and Nevada, we can afford to lose NJ and not lose the majority.

      • cassandram

        I’m surprised that it took this long for this race to tighten, really.

  2. an insurance executive and a bad one at that. Not much of a choice for NJ

  3. Suspect the stink of Christie still lingers in the collective nostrils of New Jersey, Menendez is bad, the Republicans far worse.

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