A new Quinnipiac poll in Texas finds Sen. Ted Cruz (R) leading Beto O’Rourke (D) by nine points among likely voters, 54% to 45%.
Said pollster Peter Brown: “The Texas U.S. Senate race between Cruz and O’Rourke, and Democratic hopes for an upset win there, have boosted talk of a Senate takeover. These numbers may calm that talk.”
Despite the supposed "blue wave", Democratic incumbents are underperforming in Senate polls. Here's a fairly deep (statistical) dive into what's going on. https://t.co/1LtQIvZtZ5
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) September 18, 2018
A new Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll finds most voters believe Democrats will win back the House—just not Republican voters.
“Fully half of self-identified Republicans don’t believe Democrats are likely to win back the House. And within that group, 57% of people who describe themselves as strong Trump supporters don’t believe Democrats have a chance (37% believe they do).”
— Michael Tackett (@tackettdc) September 18, 2018
A new Marquette University Law School Poll in Wisconsin finds Tony Evers (D) has opened a lead over Gov. Scott Walker (R) among likely voters in the race for governor, 49% to 44%, with Libertarian Phil Anderson at 6%.
Evers and Walker were tied at 46 percent each in the August poll.
In the race for U.S. Senate, Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-WI) opened a huge lead over challenger Leah Vukmir, 53% to 42%.