The Polling Report for November 15, 2017

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll finds 56% of voters think President Trump and the company he built will benefit from proposed changes to the tax code, but fewer than three in 10 expect those changes to help them.

A new WBUR poll in Massachusetts finds that Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) and Gov. Charlie Baker (R) both retain wide leads over challengers who are struggling to gain broad public attention.  Key finding: “All of Elizabeth Warren and Baker’s current challengers suffer from a lack of name recognition; for each of the seven, most voters polled had never heard of them.”

In a prospective 2020 match up, a new Politico/Morning Consult poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump in a possible presidential race, 46% to 35%.

“Biden’s 11-point margin is actually smaller than the poll’s previous question, in which voters are asked whether they will vote to reelect Trump, or for a generic Democrat. The generic Democrat leads Trump, 48 percent to 34 percent, the poll shows.”

A Democratic group Patriot Majority USA has just published a second big batch of House polls conducted by Public Policy Polling, and the numbers look very positive for Democrats. All of the districts tested are held by Republicans, and the results are summarized in the table below:

And in the newly open NJ-2 where longtime Republican Congressman Frank LoBiondo has retired, a generic Democrat leads a generic Republican 44-39.