The Polling Report for October 19, 2017

A new Quinnipiac poll in Virginia finds Ralph Northam (D) with a large lead over Ed Gillespie (R) in the race for governor, 53% to 39%.

Said pollster Peter Brown: “One number says it all. Northam’s 14-point lead among independent voters is all you need to know about the race to be Virginia’s next governor. The two major-party candidates do about the same among their respective party bases, but a candidate who carries independent voters by double-digits is almost always a winner.”


Two new polls from in New Jersey and Virginia show a significant segment of likely voters say President Trump is a factor in their choice for governor.  Many voters say they plan to send a message of disapproval to Trump and the Republican controlled Congress in their choice next month.

In New Jersey, Trump’s approval is just 31%. The survey found that 25% of voters say Trump is a factor in their vote for governor, and 18% say he is a “major factor.”  The polling average shows Phil Murphy (D) leading Kim Guadagno (R) by 17%.

In Virginia, Trump’s approval is just 33%. The survey found that 32% of likely voters say Trump is a factor in their vote for governor, and 20% say he is a “major factor.”  The polling average shows Ralph Northam (D) leading Ed Gillespie (R) by 4%.


Yes, there is already a 2020 New Hampshire Primary poll, for both parties.   It is the Granite State poll from the University of New Hampshire.

DEMSNH–Sanders 31, Biden 24, Warren 13, Booker 6, O’Malley 3, Hickenlooper 2, Zuckerberg 2, Harris 1, Ryan 1, Klobuchar 2, Gillibrand 1, Other 5, Undecided 11

Sanders won New Hampshire with 61% of the vote in 2016.  I find it interesting that his vote share has been cut in half.   I wonder if most of Sanders’ appeal in the primary in 2016 was just being the anti-Clinton candidate.

GOPNH–Trump 47, Other 23, Undecided 30

That is devastating weak for an incumbent President.

Delaware politics from a liberal, progressive and Democratic perspective. Keep Delaware Blue.

1 comment on “The Polling Report for October 19, 2017

  1. cassandram

    They should add Pence in the GOP poll. I wonder if it would say anything about that massive group of Undecideds.

    And Guadagno should lose because she worked for Christie. Full Stop.

Leave a Reply